Bitcoin trades at $73,448, down 15.2% from its swing high of $86,620 set on 2026-09-21. The fall is 49 days long, and the price is 41.1% below the all-time high.
Key facts
- Swing 20D: −14.8% over 49 days (average for BTC: 29 days)
- Swing 50D: −14.8% over 49 days (average for BTC: 71 days)
- Swing 300D: +25.9% over 132 days (average for BTC: 428 days)
- Volume category: 2 of 4 (Medium)
- 41.5% below its all-time high
Stratalla market data as of 2026-11-10
Key takeaways - Structure: −15.2% over 49 days from the $86,620 swing high; +25.3% over 132 days from the $58,625 swing low of 2026-06-30. - Volume & ecosystem: Volume is Medium (EVR 1.32). ETH, SOL and BCH have fallen further than BTC over the same seven weeks. - Fundamentals / risk: US spot bitcoin ETFs had $1.28 billion of net outflows in the week of 2026-11-02; Bitcoin Core 32.1 was published on 2026-10-27.
Where BTC stands
- Price: $73,448 (data as of 2026-11-10, 19:22 UTC, before the daily close) · 41.1% below its all-time high of $124,659, set on 2025-10-06
- Category: Titans · Market cap ~$1.51 trillion
- Volume: 2-Medium (EVR 1.32), about 1.3 times the coin's recent average volume
The price is below every daily close since 2026-08-20, when BTC closed at $73,025. The last fully closed day, 2026-11-09, ended at $75,368 with an EVR of 1.43.
Swing structure
A swing level is the last swing high or swing low that Stratalla detected in a 20-, 50- or 300-day window. The table measures the move from that level to the current price.
| Timeframe | Swing level | Move since | Age | Coin's typical swing |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20-day | $86,620 (high) | −15.2% | 49 days | median fall −17.2% / 23.5 days |
| 50-day | $86,620 (high) | −15.2% | 49 days | median fall −28.4% / 49 days |
| 300-day | $58,625 (low) | +25.3% | 132 days | one past rise: +145.7% / 590 days |
The 20-day and 50-day timeframes measure the same fall from the 2026-09-21 swing high. The 300-day timeframe still measures a rise from the swing low of 2026-06-30. The rise that ended at $86,620 was +47.8% over 82 days.
Against the 50-day history, the fall is at the median length (49 days) and at 54% of the median size. Five of the six completed 50-day falls were larger than −15.2%. Against the 20-day history, it is about twice the median length. Only one of the 14 completed 20-day falls lasted longer: 50 days, ending 2026-06-30.
Volume during the fall was mostly Medium. Of the 49 closed days from 2026-09-22 to 2026-11-09, 31 were Medium, 13 Low and 5 High. Four of the five High days came between 2026-10-29 and 2026-11-05. There has been no Significant-volume day, the highest category, since 2026-08-21.
The 300-day history contains one completed rise and one completed fall (−53.0% over 266 days), because Stratalla's BTC data starts on 2023-09-04. Two swings are not enough for an average, so the 300-day comparison is a reference only.
Ecosystem context
Bitcoin has no parent chain. The comparison below uses two large layer-1 coins (ETH, SOL) and two payment coins derived from Bitcoin's code (BCH, LTC).
| Coin | Role | Swing 20D | Swing 50D | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | this coin | −15.2% / 49 d | −15.2% / 49 d | 2-Medium |
| ETH | layer-1 peer | −26.4% / 49 d | −26.4% / 49 d | 2-Medium |
| SOL | layer-1 peer | −32.1% / 45 d | −32.1% / 45 d | 2-Medium |
| BCH | payments peer | −14.0% / 28 d | −33.8% / 48 d | 1-Low |
| LTC | payments peer | +0.2% / 1 d | +0.2% / 1 d | 2-Medium |
The fall is market-wide. ETH, SOL and BCH each show a 50-day fall of 45 to 49 days, the same period as BTC's, and each is larger than BTC's −15.2%. LTC's readings restarted from a swing low of $50.11 one day ago, so its row does not show its earlier move.
Fundamentals & recent developments
- 2026-11-02 to 2026-11-06: US spot bitcoin ETFs had net outflows of $1.28 billion. It was the largest weekly outflow since the week ending 2026-06-26 ($1.79 billion). Net flows for 2026 moved to about −$914.1 million. (The Block, using SoSoValue data, 2026-11-07)
- 2026-10-27: Bitcoin Core 32.1 was published. It fixes a possible leak of the sender's IP address during private broadcast and a wallet-notification command issue. It raises the default connection limit from 125 to 200. Versions 29.x and older reached end of life. Version 32.0 was tagged but not fully released. (bitcoincore.org)
- 2026-09-15: The US Senate voted 49–50 against cloture on the Clarity Act (H.R. 3633). The bill would set US market-structure rules for crypto assets. The motion needed 60 votes, so the bill did not advance to debate. (Decrypt, 2026-09-15)
What's coming next
- 2026-12-08 to 2026-12-09: US Federal Reserve FOMC meeting. It is the last scheduled US interest-rate decision of 2026. It is a dated macro event, not a Bitcoin protocol event. (federalreserve.gov)
- Bitcoin Core 33.x: release date "TBA". The project aims for a new version every 6–7 months, and 32.x is dated 2026-10-27. (bitcoincore.org, lifecycle page)
- Clarity Act: no new Senate vote is scheduled. The 2026-09-15 report named no date for another attempt. (Decrypt)
No protocol upgrade or soft-fork activation with a date was found for the next 90 days.
Supply
- Circulating: 20,110,056 BTC of a maximum 21,000,000, so 95.8% of the maximum supply exists.
- Remaining: 889,944 BTC are still to be issued.
- Unlocks: Bitcoin has no team allocation or unlock schedule. New coins are issued only to miners through the block subsidy.
Levels that would change the picture
Below the current price
- $75,644, the 20-day swing low of 2026-09-15. This level is already above the price. The close of 2026-11-08 ($74,851) was the first daily close below it.
- $66,556, the swing high of 2026-07-21. A daily close below it would mean price is back below the point where the July rise ended.
- $58,625, the 300-day swing low of 2026-06-30. A daily close below it would mean the 300-day swing that started on 2026-06-30 has ended.
Above the current price
Short and medium term: - $82,210, the swing high of 2026-05-10. A daily close above it with above-average volume would mean price has moved past the point where the March–May rise ended. - $86,620, the swing high of 2026-09-21. A daily close above it with above-average volume would mean the fall that started on 2026-09-21 has ended.
Long term: - $96,952, the 50-day swing high of 2026-01-14. It is where the rise from the 2025-11-22 swing low ended. - $124,659, the all-time high of 2025-10-06. It is also the 300-day swing high.
These are past turning points from Bitcoin's own history, used as reference points. They are not price targets.
What to keep in mind
- The day had not closed. The figures are from 19:22 UTC on 2026-11-10. The daily close can differ, and the levels above refer to daily closes.
- Short data history for long swings. Stratalla's BTC data starts on 2023-09-04, so the 300-day comparison rests on one completed rise and one completed fall.
- ETF holdings are a dated figure. The 12 US spot bitcoin ETFs held $95.9 billion after the week of 2026-11-02, down 2.3% in that week. (The Block, 2026-11-07)
This analysis is educational and describes market structure as of 2026-11-10. It is not financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell. It was prepared with the help of AI, and AI can make mistakes, so check important facts and do your own research.